Capital Refinery
Watch · 3 minutes

Continuous borrower monitoring, on a real position.

Three minutes. No narration over a slide deck. We walk one live position through the loop — extraction, decision binding, monitoring, breach forecasting, and the moment a prior IC decision stops being defensible.

Capital Refinery · April 2026
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In the video

What you'll see.

  1. 01 · 00:00
    The deal lands as a CIM and a credit agreement.

    Three-pass deterministic kernel parses both into a structured investment record. Every figure has a candidate ID and traces back to the source page.

  2. 02 · 00:38
    The IC memo binds the thesis.

    The thesis, the assumptions, and the conditions become a structured object the platform can re-test against later — not a slide deck headed for a shared drive.

  3. 03 · 01:22
    Operator data flows back into the same record.

    Accounting feeds, KPIs, and narrative are mapped to the assumption they test. The connection between entry and live operator data is the data model.

  4. 04 · 01:58
    Stress shocks propagate live.

    Shock packs and Monte Carlo run on the live record. Breach probability and time-to-consequence ranking surface, on the position the team actually holds.

  5. 05 · 02:31
    The decision validity score moves.

    When conditions change enough that the original IC decision is no longer defensible, the platform surfaces it — with the assumptions that broke and the time still left to act.

Buy-side proof case

Falcon Services is the buy-side proof case. The videos below show the same engine under IC, stress, covenant, and outcome-record pressure on the Falcon position.

Four operating stories

Watch the operating system under pressure.

Each video covers one stage of the loop. No narration, no slides — the operator experience from signal to outcome.

01 · We saw the pressure early
Portfolio triage under live stress.

Morning Brief, Covenants & Breach, required actions. The morning starts with what is deteriorating, what must be decided, and what is overdue.

HORMUZ fund context. Portfolio-level pressure on a seeded book.
REC · 02:04
02 · We understood the downside fast
From early warning to realized break.

The deal moves through stages: healthy, early warning, active deterioration, realized break. At each stage, the team sees time-to-consequence and required actions.

Falcon Services under stress. Deal workspace, scenario propagation, covenant forecast.
REC · 03:11
03 · We stayed in control under pressure
Constrained decisions with explicit consequence.

When time runs out, the platform narrows the view to the decisions that matter and the cost of each option. Locked decisions reduce the queue. Inaction has a visible price.

Two deals under forced resolution. Decision control, acknowledgement, structured communications.
REC · 02:17
04 · We could defend the decision afterward
The decision becomes a permanent investment record.

Signal, escalation, decision, execution, outcome. The full chain is traceable. The institutional memory does not depend on the person who was in the room.

Full provenance from the number on screen to the page it was extracted from.
REC · 01:52

The video is a walkthrough. The real thing is on your data.

The next step is bringing us a position from your portfolio and walking it through the loop together — 60 to 90 minutes, on your real diligence pack.